Calgary Flames (@2.65) vs Colorado Avalanche (@2.05)

Our Prediction:

Colorado Avalanche will win

Calgary Flames – Colorado Avalanche Match Prediction | 04-10-2019 21:05

They have 1,237 face-off wins compared to 1,328 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 48.2%. That ranks them 24th in the league. The Avalanche start possessions in the offensive zone 53.1% of the time, which is 9th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 46.9% for the season. On defense Colorado has 798 hits and they have blocked 651 shots from the opposition, putting them 5th overall. That is 23rd overall in the NHL. That ranks them 19th in the league. Their Fenwick percentage is 49.4% as they have 1,780 attempts while they have given up 1,825 shots on the defensive end. Colorado is 22nd in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.9%, as they've attempted 2,367 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,476 shots on net in the same situations.

They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They've scored 157 goals and surrendered 126 for a goal differential of +31. For the season they have an ATS record of 20-22-0 and an over/under record of 22-20-0. They have scored 144 goals and given up 129 goals for a point differential of +15. Their record against the spread is 26-17-0 while their over/under record is 21-21-0. Calgary has a record of 27-13-4 this year. Colorado has a record of 20-14-8 this season. They are 3rd in the Central Division.

Injury Report

Calgary is 15-7 in their last 22 home games and 22-10 in their last 32 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall. Colorado is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall and 34-75 in their last 109 road games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Colorado is 1-8 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams and 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Calgary.

Sean Monahan put Calgary ahead at 2-1 with 7:33 left in the third period on a goal assisted by Bennett and Johnny Gaudreau. Calgary was unable to take a decisive series lead Saturday night as it dropped a 3-2 overtime decision at home against Colorado in Game 2. After a scoreless first period, the Avalanche grabbed the 1-0 advantage in the second period. Mike Smith recorded 36 saves on 39 shots in the defeat. But the Flames evened it back up with 7:34 remaining in the second on a Rasmus Andersson power play goal assisted by Sam Bennett and Mikael Backlund. The Avs proceeded to score the tying goal later in the third before winning it in OT.

Colorado'sPhilipp Grubauer was red-hot during the team's push for the playoffs and backstopped the game that sealed the Avs' postseason berth; however, the German was poor for the Capitals in the first round last year and lost his starting spot as Washington went on to claim the Stanley Cup.SemyonVarlamov played more in the regular season, butGrubauer's late-season play probably gets him the nod.

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However, the Flames have a considerable edge in goaltending in my opinion, and had no issues sweeping the Avalanche this season. Two of those games were decided by one goal, but I think the raucous environment in Calgary will be too much for Colorado to handle so to negate some of the heavy juice, Im siding with Calgary on the puck line here. The plus money is tempting with Colorado considering some of the offensive talent that the Avs have on the ice with the likes of MacKinnon, Rantanen and co.

As for Colorado, the three-headed monster of Nathan MacKinnon (41 goals, 58 assists),MikkoRantanen (31 goals, 56 assists) and Landeskog (34 goals, 41 assists) will be expected to provide the bulk of the scoring. The Avalanche captain, Landeskogreturned from injury at the end of March and immediately picked up where he left off, recording six points over the final five games of the regular season to lead the Avalanche to a 3-1-1 record.

Nathan MacKinnon led the Avs in scoring boasting a team-high 99 points as well as team-high tallies of 41 goals and 58 assists. Semyon Varlamov and Phillipp Grubauer split the time between the pipes for the Avs with Varlamov finishing the year with a record of 20-19-9 with a 2.87 GAA and 2 shutouts while Grubauer went 18-9-5 with 3 shutouts and a 2.64 GAA this season. Mikko Rantanen wasnt far off of the pace, finishing the year with 87 points, including 56 assists of his own. The Colorado Avalanche come into the postseason as the 2nd wild card team, finishing the regular season with a record of 38-30-14, translating to 90 points, the lowest total of any team in the playoffs this season.

Game Lines

The Flames, who rolled up a Western Conference-best 107 points, have dropped two in a row to fall into a 2-1 series hole entering Game 4 against the host Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday night. 1 seed has not translated into an advantage in the opening round of the playoffs, as Tampa Bay found out in the East and Calgary is hoping to avoid in the West. Earning the No.

GabrielLandeskog (COL): The Avalanche captain averaged 1.02 points per game over the course of the season, and his return from injury was exactly the boost his team needed to clinch a berth in the playoffs.