Kansas (@6.5) vs TCU (@1.1)

Our Prediction:

TCU will win

Kansas – TCU Match Prediction | 28-09-2019 12:00

They are giving up 194.3 passing yards per game. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 80.7 yards per game which puts them at 16th in the nation and 1st in the conference. TCU is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 260.7 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 13th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 782 yards rushing through 3 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. This year, they have allowed a total of 242 yards rushing and 3.9 rushing TDs. The Horned Frogs are giving up 20.3 points per game ranking them 5th in the conference and 39th in Division 1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Horned Frogs have one of the top tier offenses in the country. Their pass defense is one of the best units in the nation. The Horned Frogs average 443 yards per contest overall which has them at 48th in D-1 and 8th in the conference. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 61 total points. The Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-1. For passing yards allowed per game, the Horned Frogs currently sit at 5th in the Big 12.

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Kansas at TCU NCAA Football Betting Tips 9/28/2019

He tore off a long run of 77 yards and he tallied 2 TD's for the contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Horned Frogs was Max Duggan who went 16/36 with 188 yards through the air and tossed 3 touchdowns. He ran for 161 yards on 19 carries which meant he averaged 8.5 yards per tote. Darius Anderson led the team in rushing in the game. In their last game, the TCU Horned Frogs went up against the SMU Mustangs and lost 41-38. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. For the game, they conceded 406 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In all, they finished with a total of 78 plays for 424 yards. For the game, the Horned Frogs had a total of 23 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 60 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Dylan Thomas was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 70 yards on 4 receptions. When it comes to their defensive performance, TCU allowed 23 catches on 34 tries totaling 288 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. He notched an average of 17.5 yards per reception in the game. In the running game, the Horned Frogs allowed 118 yards on 48 tries which gave them an average of 2.5 yards per run allowed. The TCU Horned Frogs ran the football 42 times and earned 236 yards giving them an average of 5.6 yards per carry.

The Jayhawks are 12-2 on the season, 1-1 in the Big 12, 8-0 at home, 6-8 against the spread and 8-5-1 with the over. Kansas was absolutely hammered on the road this past weekend, losing 77-60 at Iowa State for their second loss in four games, both of which came on the road. Kansas is just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven.

Add in that TCU is without Jaylen Fisher, and I see Kansas fighting off a strong challenge and pulling away late in the game. Bill Self knows how to motivate his team coming off a loss, and the reported activation of Ochai Agbaji is a clear sign that he is going to pull out all the stops. The last time they lost back-to-back conference games was the year prior, during the 3-game stretch that included the Topeka YMCA game. Andy Mitts: The game against Iowa State is concerning, but the last time that Kansas has lost back-to-back games under Bill Self was in the 2014 season, when they lost at Colorado and at Florida in early December.

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He ran for a total of 76 yards on 15 carries which had him averaging 5.1 yards per carry. paced the team on the ground for the game. He gave away 1 interception during the game. He notched an average of 26.4 yards per catch for the game. Overall, they totaled 55 plays which gave them a total of 417 yards. Andrew Parchment was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 132 yards on 5 catches. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Jayhawks was Carter Stanley who went 19/25 with 275 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. On the ground, the Jayhawks gave up 192 yards on 48 attempts which means they allowed 4.0 yards per run allowed. Pooka Williams Jr. When it comes to their defensive performance, Kansas gave up 25 completions on 37 attempts for a total of 202 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. The Kansas Jayhawks ran the ball 30 times and racked up 142 yards earning them an average of 4.7 yards per rush. In their last game, the Kansas Jayhawks played the West Virginia Mountaineers and lost 29-24. His longest run of the day went for 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. On the day, they allowed 394 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways. Overall, the Jayhawks earned 20 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 45 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went.

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy,college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone.

The loss of Azubuike is going to really hurt them. They have only covered against non power-5 conference teams over the last five weeks. Today they face a TCU team that has a lot of balance and is playing with plenty of confidence. The Horned Frogs have managed to cover in every game away from home this season, so I will take them with the points against the inconsistent Jayhawks. Kansas has been pretty underwhelming for weeks now.

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TCUs red zone defense is middle of the pack in the Big 12 and the Horned Frogs have only forced six turnovers this season, tied for the fewest in the conference. Kansas needs to take advantage of its opportunities when they present themselves. Thats not going to cut it if theyre going to win a game or two moving forward. KU had two chances inside Texas Techs 10-yard line and walked away with just three points and a turnover.

TCU has been banged up in its secondary in recent weeks, but that wont make a difference against a Kansas team that is inept at throwing the ball. Kansas has the worst third-down offense in the conference. Horned Frogs roll in Lawrence. TCU has been through a rough stretch and is going to be looking to put a beating on someone after losing three of its four games to Top 11 teams, while also leading two of those games, Texas and Ohio State, in the second half. Also, TCU has been great on third downs.TCU tops the Big 12 and is 12th nationally in third- down defense, allowing opponents to convert on just 29.9 percent (29-of-97) of its opportunities.

Something tells me that Bill Self was prepared for this terrible Udoka news even before the actual news made its way out. The most worrying thing is what has been said on this forum over the past few days: KU just doesnt have the shooters (or the dominant big guy) that it had last season when four guards were the key to Final Four glory. dnoll5: While I should have no confidence in anything KU is going to do going forward based on that debacle against the Hawkeyes, I do. The experiment starts tonight. Strangely, I think that if Kansas just quits helping defensively on three pointers and sticks to their man, they can win lots of games and a conference title going small, even without shooters. Kansas 78, TCU 70.

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Mike.Plank: A crazy fact from Twitter (that I havent verified yet); In recent years, Iowa State is just 3-6 in the next game after they beat Kansas. Im guessing most other teams in the Big 12 have similar marks, but I havent investigated (yet). Heres another fact that I have verified: Bill Self is 86-11 following a loss while at KU. Kansas 82, TCU 60. I wouldnt want to be TCU tonight.