Louisville (@3.1) vs Miami Florida (@1.36)

Our Prediction:

Miami Florida will win

Louisville – Miami Florida Match Prediction | 09-11-2019 15:30

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Their defense surrenders a 39% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 16th and 14th in those defensive statistics. They are 177th in the country in rebounding with 35.9 boards per contest and 197th in assists per game with 13.6. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 139th in Division 1. Miami is 183rd in the country with 73.9 points per contest this season. The Hurricanes are 235th in college basketball in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year. The Hurricanes are 289th in turnovers per contest with 12.0. They rank 47th with 11.4 dimes allowed per game and 160th with 34.6 boards surrendered per contest. They are 54th in the nation in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 10.9. The Hurricanes give up 63.1 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the nation.

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It cannot afford to be this week. FSU has been conservative with offensive play-calling early in games. Lighting up the scoreboard will be a necessity for FSU against Lamar Jackson and the Louisville offense. Defensively, FSU has faced three top-25 offenses this year and in each case, held the opponent to its lowest point total of the season. The Cardinals however, are a different animal and should be more focused defensively after an embarrassing display at home against Boston College. Florida State currently ranks last in the ACC in total and scoring offense, but the opportunities to put points on the board should be there against Louisville.

They average 39.5 boards per contest and 13.5 assists per game, which ranks them 36th and 202nd in those offensive categories. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 258th in D-1. Louisville averages 77.8 points per contest this year, which is 89th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 9.8 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 137th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 182nd in Division 1. The Cardinals allow 68.0 points per contest, which is 79th in the country. Opponents average 37.4 rebounds a game which ranks 285th, and they allow 10.2 assists per game which puts them in 17th place in college basketball. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 12th in defensive field goal percentage. In the turnover department they are 246th with 12.5 per game.

The good news for Blackman is he'll be facing a Louisville defense that is giving up 41.5 points per game in ACC play. If there is a contest where Blackman will need to light up the scoreboard, it's this one. The Seminoles have not scored more than 26 points in any game and more than 21 just once. Blackman has played well for the most part this season, but the problem for the FSU offense has been finishing drives.

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Florida State is off to a 2-3 start this season, but coming off a win over Duke. Going back to last season, the Cardinals have lost six of their last 10 games. Each of FSU's three losses have come to teams currently ranked in the AP top 16. Louisville is off to a 4-3 start, but is just 1-3 in conference play after losing at home to Boston College, which was previously without an ACC win.

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Hell be joined this season by transferring guard Lamarr Kimble (15.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg last season), who battled injuries at Saint Josephs but should contribute immediately with the Cardinals. He played a big role on this Louisville team last season, leading the way on the offense. Adding in freshman forward Aidan Igiehon and a few other new faces, this team could be developing the talent and depth to make a run this upcoming March. The player to watch is clearly junior forward Jordan Nwora (17.0 ppg, 7.7 rpg last season).