Pau (@1.53) vs Castres (@2.7)
19-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Pau will win

Pau – Castres Match Prediction | 19-10-2019 12:00

They have also had some big teams to face however, and some of those games have been close. Lyon are a team on form, that is at home, so this will require a big effort from the Castres side. Castres on the other hand have been battling through their first four games with just the one win coming across four games, and that was at home to Bordeaux. However Montpellier came to them next, and they lost at home, but only by five points, then most recently it was Pau who they had to travel to and those opponents were far too strong as they came out on top by 15 points. They first lost against Racing on the road, by just the four points, and then it was the 14 point turnaround win at home to UBB.

Clearly, it isn't the most moral of incentives for us and we recognise that affiliates often have a bad reputation, but in our defence most tipsters don't provide the same statistical backing for their tips as we do, and our predictions are never influenced by the odds or bookies offers. In the interests of full disclosure we do have affiliate status with some bookies.

As mentioned in the explanation of how The Algorithm works, each predicted score is actually a metricto describe the relative historical strength of the two teams, based on their performances over previous years. What this means is that our predictions are generally a good place to start in forming an opinion on what may happen in upcoming matches, but you may want to plonk on top some of your own knowledge as well.

Top 14 Round 2

Also, consider betting on the margin of victory, rather than just the match outcome. The odds on rugby matches tend to be fairly terrible, so betting on the margin of victory is a good way to improve the odds, but not inherit too much risk.

The odds on rugby matches tend to be fairly terrible, so betting on the margin of victory is a good way to improve the odds, but not inherit too much risk. Also, consider betting on the margin of victory, rather than just the match outcome.

Lyon have also lost to Pau recently, but it has been their only loss as they have gone on to beat Stade Francais and Bribe in the opening rounds as well as hammering UBB. Lyon have really performed well and they will be ones to watch as they are flying at the moment and this Castres side does not look good enough to beat them. Brive at home was also an easy win as Brive have been shocking all season, the won against them by 15 points. The first game for Lyon was on the road and it was to Paris where they beat Stade by nine points. Pau away was where they came unstuck by 16 points, but their recent home win against Bordeaux was a 35 point win and it is something that will give them huge confidence into this home game.

They have done the hard work to get to this position, sneaking wins at home and away and putting in the extra work of bonus points. The problem is their position is vulnerable because any three teams below them can reach their tally and more with a win at the weekend meaning Castres have to win away from home to keep up. Castres have been working hard for any points they can gt all season and as such they have made steady progress up the log and will feel that their most recent leap to third is well deserved.

Pau -

They have also had some big teams to face however, and some of those games have been close. Castres on the other hand have been battling through their first four games with just the one win coming across four games, and that was at home to Bordeaux. However Montpellier came to them next, and they lost at home, but only by five points, then most recently it was Pau who they had to travel to and those opponents were far too strong as they came out on top by 15 points. They first lost against Racing on the road, by just the four points, and then it was the 14 point turnaround win at home to UBB. Lyon are a team on form, that is at home, so this will require a big effort from the Castres side.

In the interests of full disclosure we do have affiliate status with some bookies. Clearly, it isn't the most moral of incentives for us and we recognise that affiliates often have a bad reputation, but in our defence most tipsters don't provide the same statistical backing for their tips as we do, and our predictions are never influenced by the odds or bookies offers.