Portsmouth (@1.8) vs Burton (@4.33)
17-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Portsmouth will win

Portsmouth – Burton Match Prediction | 17-09-2019 14:45

As well as their rather poor defensive efforts against Plymouth on Saturday, Burton have found it tough to keep things tight on their travels this season. Tuesdays visitors have conceded at least once in each of their six away games, while theyre conceding an average of two goals per match and an average of 2.05 expected goals, so its tough to say that theyve not deserved to concede a rather worrying total of twelve goals on the road.

Burton have been excellent going forward in recent weeks, racking up no fewer than 15 goals in their last five League One outings, but they come up against a Portsmouth side who have terrorised defences all season long and have themselves smashed in 16 goals in their last six games. You can back both teams to find the net again in this clash at4/5 withWilliam Hill. Were backing some goals in this game though.

Burton Albion vs Portsmouth Score Prediction

It is also worth noting that Portsmouth and Sunderland both own a game in hand over Barnsley and league leading Luton Town F.C. (87 points). to come away with only 2 or less points out of their last 4 games. Pompey is lead by the 2 headed monster of Jamal Lowe (14 goals) and Ronan Curtis (11 goals), both of whom also have 8 assists apiece. Portsmouth is currently sitting on 80 points, which is 2 points behind Barnsley (currently 2nd). To have any chance of making the playoffs Burton will need to not only run the table (away Southend United F.C., home Luton, away Peterborough F.C.), but they will need to have the 6th place Doncaster Rovers F.C. Lucas Akins leads Burton in scoring with 11 goals to go along with an impressive 8 assists. Sunderland, also with 80 points currently sits 3rd by virtue of a +33 goal differential, compared with +31 for Portsmouth.

There are a few blemishes on the road, but overall performances have been pleasing at Fratton Park. By doing plenty in the offensive third and generally not giving too much away, Portsmouth have gone about their business at home with minimal fuss this season. The fact that theyve scored twelve and conceded just six suggests that theyve been far more productive in the final third than theyve allowed their opponents to be, as does the fact that they have an average expected goal difference of +0.97.

These two teams have a history of draws, and I think we see another one tomorrow, although 1 point won't do much good for either of these squads. While this is an important game for both teams, it means a little bit more to Portsmouth with Burton already on the ropes, and unlikely to make the postseason. They are also playing at home. Portsmouth has 7 wins more, and 7 losses fewer than Burton this season, plus net goal difference advantage of 19 over Burton. That being said, Burton is scrappy squad (remember their run in the Carabao Cup) with a still impressive +12 goal difference in the league season. Both of these teams are capable of finding the back of the net, and what are expected to be warm and humid conditions should be offense friendly.

Portsmouth - Burton H2H

For the same reason, Over 3.5 Goals may also be worth a dabble. There really has been no shortage of both chances and goals at both ends of the pitch when Burton and Pompey have been involved in recent weeks. The pair have averaged a combined 4.23 expected goals for in their last five, so goals really are easy to fancy ahead of Fridays clash.

With players such as Jamal Lowe and Ronan Curtis, whove got 21 goals and assists between them in League One this season, Portsmouth are backed to take advantage of Burtons leaky back-line. With an average of 1.98 expected goals for per home game, against a visiting side that is averaging 2.05 against on their travels, Portsmouth Over 1.5 Goals is tough to resist at the prices.

While Burton may currently sit 9th in the League One table, don't let that fool you, these guys can beat anybody on any give day, well except perhaps Manchester City. In this year's Carabao Cup, they went all the way to the semi-finals before finally being knocked out by Man City. During that run they knocked off Premier League side Burnley F.C., and Championship sides Aston Villa F.C., Nottingham Forest F.C., and Middlesborough F.C..

Goalscorers

On average in direct matches both teams scored a 2.33 goals per Match.Portsmouth in actual season average scored 1.78 goals per match. Teams Portsmouth Burton played so far 6 matches.Portsmouth won 2 direct matches. In 3 (60.00%) matches in season 2019 played at home was total goals (team and opponent) Over 2.5 goals. Burton won 1 matches. In 4 (80.00%) matches played at home was total goals (team and opponent) Over 1.5 goals. 3 matches ended in a draw. Burton average scored 1.75 goals per match in season 2019. In 4 (80.00%) matches played away was total goals (team and opponent) Over 1.5 goals. Below you will find a lot of statistics that make it easier Predict the result for a match between both teams. In 4 (80.00%) matches played away team was total goals (team and opponent) Over 2.5 goals. Below the text is a list of the direct games.

and Barnsley F.C. Things are looking brighter for visiting Portsmouth who currently site 4th. Things are looking bleak for Burton to return to the EFL Championship next year. (Pompey) is a must win for both teams. However, if they hope to pass up Sunderland A.F.C. The game this week will take place at Pirelli Stadium in Burton upon Trent, England, and 3 points will be necessary for either team's promotion aspirations. for the second automatic promotion place then 3 points against Burton are imperative. The Brewers were relegated to EFL League One after last season, and are likely to remain there. A loss Friday will mathematically eliminate them. They currently sit 9 points out of the 6th and final playoff spot. The match coming up this Friday, 19 April 2019, between Burton Albion F.C.andPortsmouth F.C.

Fridays hosts are a team in form, though Portsmouth, who tore Rochdale to pieces last Saturday, will fancy themselves do well at Pirelli Stadium. Theyve also posted recent expected goals for figures such as 3.43, 2.18 and 1.99. Kenny Jacketts visitors have looked like a very dangerous side of late, as theyve won each of their last five, scoring an impressive 14 goals in the process.

Given the fact that the Brewers, whove scored an average of 3.2 goals in their last five, and Pompey, whove notched an average of 2.8 in their last five, have both excelled going forward of late, a relatively high-scoring game may just be a tad more likely than the current price suggests. In summary, its fair to say that both Burton and Portsmouth have been thriving in the final third of late, while both have shown a few defensive weaknesses. Keeping this in mind, Over 2.5 Goals stands out.

The Brewers come into this fixture unbeaten in five, four of which theyve won. Theyve also lost just three of their last 16 League One matches. Burton are another of the sides whose fans will be left thinking if only we couldve got going sooner. Nigel Cloughs men have threatened to do well all season long and were now seeing that theyre a very capable side at this level.