SMU (@1.14) vs Houston (@5.5)
25-10-2019

Our Prediction:

SMU will win

SMU – Houston Match Prediction | 25-10-2019 19:30

Houston starting QB DEriq King is on a redshirt probation and will be out for the season and second QB on the line, Clayton Tune is also physically unfit to play with a hamstring trauma. Houston will field third QB string first year Logan Holgorsen who connected 15 passes for 123 yards. The Cougars are 16-4 SU in its last 20 matches at home and 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against the SMU Mustangs at home. University of Houston Cougars escaped under a dynamic offense pulled by UConn that was to be an upset if not for the missed opportunities laid on the table to the Huskies.

The one thing that's working the best for Holgorsen's offense right now is the rushing attack, which has relied on explosive plays and a deep rotation to keep defenses off balance. Houston:The controversial redshirt decisions of a few weeks ago have now taken a backseat to efforts of Houston's active roster to reach bowl eligibility here in Year 1 with Dana Holgorsen. Houston is now 3-4 overall after a a 24-10 win against UConn, but finding three wins in the final five games could be tough with UCF, Memphis and Navy -- all teams that are currently contending for AAC title -- on the slate in addition to SMU on Thursday.

American Athletic

SMU averages just over six yards per play, so the first key for Houston will be to try and find a way to force some long second and third-down situations. Anytime the Mustangs send the offense on the field, expect yards and points. Easier said than done, of course. SMU enters the week with the nations seventh-ranked offense with 521.1 yards per game, easily the most explosive in the Group of 5.

The under is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 road games. TheCougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games,23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 road games and4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. TheMustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf,1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Closing as a 14-point underdog, the Pony Express orchestrated an impressive outright upset. 16 Southern Methodist Mustangs (7-0) for a prime-time Friday Night American Athletic Conference clash on Friday, October 25th, 2019. Southern Methodist has won two of the last three meetings between these two cross-state rivals. Against the spread, the Ponies have covered in three of the previous four contests. Most recently, SMU defeated Houston by a score of 45-31 when the Mustangs hosted the Cougars in Abilene in 2018. The Houston Cougars (3-4) will host the No. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN.

Over/Under: 66.5

Or will Houston manage to put together a dominant performance that has eluded it the past couple of weeks? With a youthful mix finding themselves, there could be good things still to come for the Mustangs, but they simply do not stack up man-to-man with Houston. Chad Morris continues to have work to do in order to turn SMU around, but there are signs of progress here and there with the program. Can SMU pull off a major stunner to take Houston entirely off the New Year's Six map?

Defensively, Houston is allowing 30 points and 480.9 yards per game. The Houston Cougars look to build on their five-game winning streak while staying in the thick of the AAC race. King has three or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 237.6 yards per contest, and Patrick Carr leads the way with 475 yards and two touchdowns. DEriq King is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 2,403 yards, 28 touchdowns and five interceptions. Marquez Stevenson and Courtney Lark have combined for 1,228 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Keith Corbin has 27 receptions. Austin Robinson leads the Houston Cougars with 84 tackles, Isaiah Chambers has 4.5 sacks and Garrett Davis has two interceptions. The Houston Cougars have won six of their last nine road games.

SMU should have an opportunity to create a pass rush as well. Houston has allowed 18 sacks this season, third-most in the AAC. Houston has also lost the turnover battle in each of their last two games and three times in their last four games.

SMU vs. Houston: Prediction, pick, odds, point spread, line, football game, kickoff time, preview

Houston is 305th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions. As a team they are 120th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 65th in the nation. In terms of pace they are 270th in Division 1 with 67.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 116th. The Cougars are 36th in the country in offensive rating with 111.9.

The Cougars march into this much at 3-4 overall and 1-2 in the American Atlantic Conference West Division. Back in The Space City, the Cougars are still below the .500 mark with a 3-7 slate in the season. Houston won its third match of the year by whipping the UConn Huskies to a score of 24-17 at Rentschler Field in East Hartford, Connecticut.

took the lead for his team by scoring 19 points and DeJon Jarreau scored 15 points coming off the bench. Corey Davis Jr. For the first time in the ACC play, Houston Cougars dropped to a tie with Cincinnati at 14-2. 12 and they have declined this season overall to 27-2. In the AAC play, they stand at 14-2 after their 69-64 defeat to UFC Knights on Saturday. Their defeat had broken Houstons home winning streak at 33 straight. Houston Cougars are ranked at No.

What's on the line?

Their defense surrenders a 37% shooting percentage and a 28% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 2nd and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 108th in the NCAA. Houston is 102nd in the nation with 75.7 points per contest this season. The Cougars give up 60.8 points per game, which ranks them 6th in Division 1. They are 167th in the country in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 14.9. They are 8th in D-1 in rebounding with 41.0 boards per contest and 58th in assists per game with 15.1. The Cougars are 106th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.4 per contest this year. They rank 24th with 10.6 dimes allowed per game and 95th with 33.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Cougars are 301st in turnovers per contest with 11.6.

Jumping out to an early lead should be expected from the Mustangs, and they may not have to bother looking in the rearview mirror. SMU may get their biggest win at Houston since 1985 when the Pony Express walked away with a 24-point victory. But if Houston wasn't already seeing their season get away from them compared to where it could have been, SMU may be walking into one of the most favorable spots they could ask for when visiting Houston. The Cougars are vulnerable and ripe for the picking. All things considered, this would appear to be a possible tricky spot for SMU. SMU should be able to stick to their game plan and excel. The Mustangs are ranked and looking to remain undefeated, but going on the road is always dangerous for a program not particularly used to this kind of success.